Category Archives: Musings

What’s happening with Startups – early 2022

First PayTM bites dust. Listed at 2000, and now hovering around 950.

I was really disappointed seeing such loss making startups being celebrated. Something in me doesn’t allow me to accept these loss makers.

The founders have to sell their soul to the investors. Dance to their tunes. Take the wrong unethical moves.

This brings me to Facebook. Initially to gain traction Facebook did all the wrong moves.

You upload a photo – by default it is on to the world – thereby getting more people to login to snoop on others.

Once they got the critical mass they started selling the users data to Advertisers – and over night ( ok over a period of years ) – FB became one of the key go to places for advertisers to grab attention.

Then FB started selling to the politicians – to peddle their philosophies. Donald Trump is one – who rode the Social Network wave – encouraging conspiracy theories and other nonsense.

FB kept minting money all along.

FB swooped and took over all competitors – Whatsapp, Instagram.

Data. Data. Data.

Was it ethical. Questionable. But they built a trillion dollar business on this idea.

And now FB bit dust – their stock has tanked. Partly because of Apple turning in the privacy screws, partly because of their growth tanking – thanks to TikTok and also might be Social media fatigue.

I hope the investment thesis of these rich PEs change. Can they not use their investment money for good causes.

Instead of funding more and more not so essential ideas – like 10 minute grocery delivery for instance.

Instead can’t the investors fund startups which is making the world a happy cleaner place to live in.

Are there enough problems? Yes.

Are there enough problems that when solved can give good returns? Yes.

Are there enough problems where humans are willing to spend their entire lifetime? Yes.

Are investors to be blamed? Yes and No.

Are consumers to be blamed? Yes and No. When consumers do not have a good alternative, yes they will go for the evil startup – So in this case I will say no. But if there is a better alternative – and still they chose to go with the evil one ( because it is free ) – yes consumers are to be blamed.

This brings me to another question. How much money is enough?

1 Crore?

An open heart surgery will cost some 10Lakhs lets say.

A stomach cancer treatment + care etc. will cost – 20 Lakhs?

A vacation in Japan lets say – 10Lakhs?

Still there is enough money to spare. Of course you should buy a 3BHK – there should be a permanent address where no one can evict you.

A car – yes. A bike – yes.

Beyond all this – amassing crores of rupees is really not necessary. Unless the crores are spent on worthy startups and causes.

Am I pissed off seeing the kind of advises doled out in Shark Tank India – yes. Am I pissed off seeing the kind of drama that is happening in BharatPe kind of startups – yes.

It distracts us from the real goal of creating a better loving world.

Enough I tell. Enough of startups which are there to just push Ads – and not create any value.

Amazon – yes. Like the convenience of ordering stuff I dont find in the neighbourhood.

Zomato/Swiggy – not so much. I can always walk and order stuff from my neighbourhood.

BBInstant – yes. When we are short of stuff I can go and pick from our Apartment Entrance.

Rahul Dravid. Why?

I respect this gentleman. Of course I had made fun of him when he had come to play IPL – I felt bad for him – He a pure cricketer getting himself corrupted with the IPL’s crassness.

Now Rahul Dravid has acted in a Cred Ad. He is calling himself the Indranagar ka Gunda. Sigh.

Why will Rahul Dravid sully his name? This reminds me of 2 other Gentlemen.

Vishwanathan Anand

Once a memory pill company approached him to promote their product. Vishy said, let me try your pills for a month and see if there is any difference. He did find improvement in his memory and then he accepted to promote the Memory pill.

Rajinikanth

He just does not come in any advertisements. The only one he has come is in an Ad by Doordarshan to promote polio drops.

But it is stupid of me to expect Rahul Dravid from saying no. He has acted in Pepsi commercials and what nots – peddling sugar drinks to kids. He never had a remorse like Amitabh Bhalchan.

All are having a laugh – Dear Rahul – they are laughing at you. Please stop it. I don’t know what your bank balance is – you have other better ways of improving it – use your clean image for the good. Do not let it get kicked around – because once your clean gentlemanly image is sullied – you will never get the clean image back.

Like the Good safe driving you used to promote – now who will believe you tell me?

A disappointed fan.

The High Valuation Loss makers

This photo is circulating over linked in and Twitter since last week.

I was least surprised. I follow Entrackr and daily they send 3 startup’s news. One of them will be the financial breakdown of these heavily funded companies.

What surprised me was – the Aam junta were taken back by surprise. Many could not believe their eyes. They were asking for the poster for the source of this information – as if it was fake news.

Dunzo is a classic example. Many in Bangalore have used it and love dunzo. But they never think if it is a sustainable business. It will never be.

Uber – the one who started it all has publicly stated that they will never be profitable. I just checked – they listed at 42$ and now at 58$.

Perhaps the loss doesn’t matter anymore? Tomorrow Zomato is going IPO. Till now Indian stock markets rewarded profitable companies and punished loss making ones.

Perhaps the trend will change? Zomato’s stock price will go up and it will be kept there by punters and MF companies. The rest in the list will join – and they will just be played around via speculation – while these companies continue to make loses.

“Cred” being the first in list, got ridiculed a lot and Kunal Shah the founder of Cred got angry and posted this

That was yesterday. Today news was in news because they had raised $200 million at a valuation of $2.2Billion from $800 Million.

Now this wants me to ask a fundamental question – how much of this money is “theory” like bitcoin! If we add up all the money in the world – will it translate to the gold held in each country?

No?

If so – what is the multiple then? That is lets say – if US holds 100 Trillion Gold bars lets say – the total dollar money in the world = 10000 Trillion – so a multiple of 100.

What is the multiple if we add INR, Yen, Yuan etc.? Wouldn’t it be an astronomical number?

Anyway – there is too much paper money – in fact I don’t think there is paper money – it is all digital. Just like bitcoin. The $s are all digital.

The VC companies get their money from LPs.

The LPs get their money from other returns from VC investments

The returns from VC investments are obtained when VCs get an exit

And this has mushroomed bigger and bigger – perhaps the initial investment did start with some paper money.

I am just too brain fried right now. I am not an economist. I do not understand this angle of startups.

I believe in plain vanilla business. See a problem, create a solution, sell the solution, ask money for it, sell, support, rinse, repeat.

Book Review – A Gentleman in Moscow

It is the kind of book to read during Covid 19.

By an interesting set of events, our hero – Count Rustov – comes to be under Hotel arrest – lucky for him – in a 5 star hotel with 2 restaurants.

The story starts with him being moved from a Suite to a very small room. Still under arrest.

The story goes how the count goes from his morning exercise routine – starts from 60 odd pushups and squats to 5 towards the end of the story – the markers the author inserts to show the Count is getting old. He is 60+ at the end of the story.

The second half gets really good – when he adopts a daughter – Sofia. The story – to me – really begins after that.

The plot inserts itself into the Russian revolution – quite critical of the destruction of nobility and the bland culture communism steam rolled onto the society.

The author – doing research for this book – seems to have visited all the 5 star hotels across the world – in New York, France, Moscow, Japan and picked up the menu from all these locations.

But it was quite entertaining. The end was pretty thrilling. In fact the entire book was never boring. It was a nice breezy read.

1st Adventure Ride – Bang-Cbe-Bang

It has been 3 weeks since I had the bike. Over the weekends I will go for a ride to put kilometers on the bike. But it wasn’t enough. I will hardly add 50 odd kms over the weekend.

I had to do the first service within 45 days or 1000 Kms. I could only touch 250kms max. This was clearly not working. I would not be able to touch 1000kms. This bike is going to take me to Himalayas someday – and wanted it to be set right.

What if we do a trip to Coimbatore? I hesitatedly floated the idea to San and she gave thumbs up. She will drive the car with Amma, Prithvi, Charu, Coco and Sufi. Amma was excited – first trip after 1.5 years to Cbe. So she did not protest much on me coming by bike.

Jan 26 Chutti was coming up. It was a Tuesday. So a quick plan was made.We leave on Saturday. Work on Monday. Return Tuesday. But there was a twist. Prithvi had an online interview ( we were trying for Isha Home School ) on Saturday 2:00 PM to 4:30 PM.

I kept oscillating between, let us start on Friday afternoon, reach Coimbatore and P can take his exam. Or start early morning on Saturday and reach before 2PM.

But San was clear – let P take the online exam from the comfort of his home. So he can play his Piano if needed. One constraint was fixed – so my mind oscillations stopped.

We were to start after P finish’s his exam.

Friday Night – day before ride

People at home were talking about the serial Bharathi Kannamma. This reminded me of the movie Ninaithalae Innikum I saw when I was a school kid. There is a song by that very name. A lovely movie. I played it on youtube and got the urge to see the movie.

Being a Friday night – I started seeing it. All the songs are lovely. And I ended up watching the full movie. It runs for 2.5 hours or so.

Here is the movie if you want to enjoy this. Somewhere in the middle there is a full song with just the words : Ninaithaalae Innikum.

Saturday Morning

Watching the movie was a mistake. I find it hard to sleep after 6AM – thanks to Covid more or less I sleep off by 10 to 10:30 PM and wake up around 6 daily. I was very groggy. Also with the upcoming trip excitement couldn’t sleep properly.

Around 11 AM I went downstairs to fill petrol for both the bike and car. I was moving the bike suddenly remembered I had to fetch something, and I leaned the bike to put it on stand, and dropped it. I had not put the side stand down.

In all my YouTube watching of bikers – they had taught techniques to lift the bike up.

I tried lifting and could manage. Phoo. The same thing happened the day of the Bang-Mumbai-Bang trip. Felt it is a good omen.

Then the day went in running errands for the trip preparation. I had earlier got a riding boot and a pant. Wanted to do a test ride with them so I am comfortable – but did not find time to test it out. Will be doing the grand inauguration of these on the first ride.

Saturday 5 PM

Finally the time arrived. San and the family and our cat and dog – all started in the car and pushed off. I quickly caught and overtook them stuck in the traffic.

This is the Whitefield to Attibele via Varthur. I have travelled on this multiple times – and I breezed through it and soon crossed the Attibele Toll.

Reached Adayar Ananda Bhavan just before Krishnagiri and waited for the car to come. There was a good amount of traffic and the car was quite behind.

Saturday night 6:30 PM – Ride continues

Nowadays I sleep at 10:00 ish and not sure I can stay awake. The ETA is now around 12:30 AM Midnight. In another 2 – 3 hours will be in Salem. Near the A2B there is a small hotel we can crash for the night – so plan B was made that if either of us get sleepy we will stay at the hotel. And we resumed our journey.

I started enjoying the ride. The dimming sun light and the evening cool breeze was putting me in good spirits. The night ride was fantastic. Less variables to drink in – just the dark road ahead lit with the headlight and the vehicles tail lights.

I was afraid I will get a headache or my eyes will get tired. But nothing of that sort happened. The grogginess I had the entire day was gone entirely. Perhaps it was as the anticipation of the ride? I was fully alert throughout this trip.

I have travelled this road – Bangalore to CBE multiple times – so did not have the need to consult a map. In a way it was good – while getting used to the bike one variable if it is less – especially the map.

We crossed the micro Ghat section that comes after Sai Sangeet. I did not try cornering – even though I was tempted. A empty loaded lorry guy was driving like a maniac and was not being able to slow down and was cutting across lanes not wanting to slow down. I stayed behind him and did not overtake till I got out of the Ghat section.

The agreement was whoever crosses the toll – has to wait for the other. Also I had put Life360 app on both our phones – so we could track realtime where the other is.

We kept stopping at tolls – and in one of the tolls fed Sufi and took the dog out for her night walk.

The last section was very boring. Thankfully it was a three laner – between Perundurai and Coimbatore. I started following cars who were going at 100Kmph+.

Finally reached home around 12:30 AM.

Reached destination.

The next couple of days the bike was being tested by Achu. Had to tell him to keep within 50kms because my ride back will be another 350 kms and I will be close to touching 1000kms.

On Tuesday, Jan 26th – started back to Bangalore around morning 7AM. Till we crossed Erode it was quite misty.

Finally around 3 PM or so we reached home.

The entire trip took 2 full tanks – around 20Liters. Bike was giving an average of 34 kms+.

First Adventure ride done.